Reverse Mortgage Daily
  • Home
  • About
  • Wholesale Lenders
  • Jobs
  • Awards
  • Advertise
  • Events
  • Contact
  • Data
  • Categories
    • Alternatives
      • EquityKey
      • REX
    • Commentary
    • Counseling
    • Events
    • FHA
    • GNMA
    • Gov. Updates
    • International
    • Jumbo Products
    • Leads
    • Legislation
    • Lenders
    • Marketing
    • MBA Reverse
    • News
    • NRMLA
    • Podcast
    • Products
      • 1st Reverse
      • Bank of America
      • Countrywide
      • Financial Freedom
      • Generation Mortgage
      • Gold Reverse
      • Golden Gateway
      • HECM
      • JB Nutter
      • Liberty Reverse
      • LLS
      • MetLife
      • Quicken
      • Reverseit
      • Seattle Mortgage
      • Security One
      • Sun West
      • Virtual Bank
      • Wells Fargo
    • Rates
    • Reverse Mortgage
    • Reverse Mortgage Jobs
    • Senior Housing
    • Servicers
      • Celink
      • RMS
    • Technology
      • Bay Docs
      • Mortgage Cadence
    • Top HECM Lenders
    • Training
    • Warehouse Lines
  • RSS


« Reverse Mortgage Rates – November 17, 2009
AARP Showing More Support for Reverse Mortgage Industry »

Reverse Mortgage Industry Needs Housing to Bottom, Fiserv Says Not Yet

November 17th, 2009  |  by admin Published in News, Reverse Mortgage  |  3 Comments

image Lately, I’ve been thinking more about what needs to happen for reverse mortgage volume to grow and while I’m not sure there is any “silver bullet”, housing values bottoming out is pretty close.

Principal limits have been cut and without housing values stabilizing, seeing record growth in 2010 is going to be a challenge.

Unfortunately, a new forecast of real estate prices from Fiserv estimates that home values will drop in 342 out of 381 markets during the next year. Overall, the national median home price is predicted to drop 11.3% by June 30, 2010, with some stabilization for the following year with prices rising 3.6%.

Mark Zandi, chief economist with Moody’s Economy.com, agreed with Fiserv’s current assessments and told CNNMoney that, "I think more price declines are coming because the foreclosure crisis is not over," he said.

In fact, those areas with high concentrations of foreclosure sales will experience the steepest drops, according to Fiserv. Miami, for example, is expected to be the biggest loser. Prices are forecast to plunge 29.9% by next June — after having already fallen a whopping 48% during the past three years.

If Fiserv’s forecast holds, Miami real median home price will tumble to $142,000 by June 2011.

Homes: About to get much cheaper

Technorati Tags: Reverse Mortgage,News,HECM,FHA,HUD,CNN,Housing Values,Fiserv

Sign up to receive free updates like this by email or subscribe by RSS feed. Thanks for reading!

    Related Posts
  • HUD Grapples with Reverse Mortgage REO Properties
  • More Than 20% of Americans Underwater on Mortgages
  • Reverse Mortgage Limits Rise, Values Fall


  • James_E_Veale_CPA_MBT
    Admin, your assessment is right on point. With the alleged volume of shadow inventory and delayed foreclosure action, the Fiserv assessment may be a significant understatement of further erosion in home values. It is doubtful if it is an overstatement.

    While no prognosticator, lenders and originators should be preparing to weather a long winter season. There is little doubt that Mr. Peter Bell is right; those who survive the immediate future should be in a very strong position to take advantage of the turn around. Like most industries dependent upon ever increasing home values, there will be upturns as well as downturns. Right now we are in a retracting and rebuilding mode.
  • peterhamilton
    Hard to imagine that anyone considering a reverse mortgage now or in the next three years would use this as a reason for waiting.

    Do we really think that folks are saying to themselves "I think I'll wait for my home's value to reach its' lowest point in years, then I'll do it." ?

    These folks have already lost the 10% by waiting, and more thru increased margins. When (if?) housing values turn back up, they will likely be accompanied by rising interest rates..which as we all know will easily eat up any gain in value.

    Absent unforeseen changes, will a homeowner ever have more money available to them (and in the future with credit line growth)then they do today, right now? This is all information I convey as delicately as possible to my clients. It can be hard to hear. Once I have shown them a few scenario's of values,rates and age they can at least make an educated decision.
  • The_Critic
    Peter,

    The problem is not the desire of seniors. NRMLA did a quick survey and believes the 10% PLF reduction means 20% fewer seniors will qualify. The reason for the 20% drop is LTVs. The existing debt is just too high compared to value so fewer seniors have the equity needed to qualify.

    The 10% reduction of PLFs was directly related to lower home value appreciation projections and a poor decision by the Administration to ignore industry standards. If home values go up, existing LTVs rise and so will PLFs. Reduced home appreciation rates is a double edged sword.
blog comments powered by Disqus .


View John R. Yedinak's profile on LinkedIn


Wholesale Lender Sponsors




Sponsors




Reverse Mortgage Daily on Facebook



Categories

  • 1st Reverse
  • Alternatives
  • Bank of America
  • Bay Docs
  • Celink
  • Commentary
  • Counseling
  • Countrywide
  • EquityKey
  • Events
  • FHA
  • Financial Freedom
  • Generation Mortgage
  • GNMA
  • Gold Reverse
  • Golden Gateway
  • Gov. Updates
  • HECM
  • International
  • JB Nutter
  • Jumbo Products
  • Leads
  • Legislation
  • Lenders
  • Liberty Reverse
  • LLS
  • Marketing
  • MBA Reverse
  • MetLife
  • Mortgage Cadence
  • News
  • NRMLA
  • Podcast
  • Products
  • Quicken
  • Rates
  • Reverse Mortgage
  • Reverse Mortgage Jobs
  • Reverseit
  • REX
  • RMS
  • Seattle Mortgage
  • Security One
  • Senior Housing
  • Servicers
  • Sun West
  • Technology
  • Top HECM Lenders
  • Training
  • Virtual Bank
  • Warehouse Lines
  • Wells Fargo



RSS Reverse Mortgage Jobs

  • Reverse Mortgage Specialist
  • Reverse Mortgage Specialist
  • Reverse Mortgage Loan Originator (Experience Required) TN, AL, MS. Join a winning Team. call 1-866-960-1888
  • Loan Sales Inside / Outside
  • Reverse Mortgage Originator
  • Take your Reverse Mortgage business to the next level! - AZ

RSS Reverse Mortgage Events

  • Free webinar: HECM purchase: growing your business
  • Free webinar: HECM purchase/ growing your business
  • Free webinar: Less stress & more loans...
  • Free webinar: Less stress & more loans...
  • Free webinar: Less stress & more loans...

©2010 Reverse Mortgage Daily
Powered by WordPress using the Gridline Lite theme by Graph Paper Press.